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Stocks · Coal India vs ONGC

Coal India vs ONGC: PSU energy commodity comparison for the Indian investor

Domestic monopoly coal producer versus an integrated oil and gas company exposed to global energy prices. A factual, signed comparison, informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell either stock.

The verdict

Coal India is the world's largest coal miner and a near-monopoly domestic supplier, while ONGC is India's largest state-owned oil and gas producer with an upstream exploration business and a significant stake in refining through its subsidiaries. As of 2026-06-18, the systematic read scores Coal India Ltd 53 and Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Ltd 80 on the BazaarBaazi Crack Score, an Edge Score of 77 out of 100 to Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Ltd.
Coal India Ltd Crack Score53/100
Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Ltd Crack Score80/100
Edge Score (Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Ltd)77/100

BazaarBaaziSource & method

The matchup, at a glanceCOALINDIA 53 · ONGC 80

The Edge Score is a BazaarBaazi number for this matchup: 50 plus the gap between the two Crack Scores, capped at 100. 50 is a dead heat; the further above 50, the more decisively the systematic read favours the leader.

77 / 100Edge Score to Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Ltd. Coal India Ltd reads Neutral at a Crack Score of 53; Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Ltd reads Bullish at 80.

The case for eachStructural, not a tip

What each stock has going for it, factually. The Crack Score is the live systematic read; the edges are durable structural points, not forecasts.

The case for

Coal India Ltd

Crack Score

53 / 100Neutral

Structural edges

  • Monopoly domestic coal supplier to India's power and industrial sector with a structural demand guarantee as long as coal-based power is needed.
  • Administered pricing insulates earnings from global coal price collapses; volume growth (opening new mines, relaxing despatch constraints) is the primary growth lever.
  • Among the most reliable dividend-paying PSUs in India, supported by the government's recurring dividend receipt requirement.

Full COALINDIA verdict

The case for

Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Ltd

Crack Score

80 / 100Bullish

Structural edges

  • Direct leverage to a global commodity price (crude oil) that can generate significant earnings upside in high-oil environments.
  • Subsidiaries like HPCL provide downstream refining exposure alongside the upstream business, diversifying the business canvas.
  • Ongoing development of KG-D6 gas fields and new block discoveries provide organic production growth potential beyond the base business.

Full ONGC verdict

The live ratios, side by sideQ4 FY26 results · live spot

Valuation and quality ratios computed from each company's latest filed results times its live spot, the same engine as the fundamentals calculator. The price-derived ratios (P/E, P/B, yield) move with the market; the rest hold until the next results.

 Coal India LtdOil and Natural Gas Corporation Ltd
P / E9.0x7.5x
P / B2.36x0.83x
Dividend yield4.83%7.54%
Return on equity26.1%11.1%
Net profit margin18.5%6.3%
EPS growth (YoY)-12.4%+14.4%
Debt to equity0.120.47

Stored from each company's filed results, as of 2026-06-17 and currency-checked; anything we could not verify is shown as n/a rather than guessed. Move the price and watch them react in the calculator.

The comparison, side by sideFactual

Sector, indicative market cap, the live Crack Score and stance, then the structural read on each business. The live valuation and quality ratios are in the table above; read any ratio against the sector and the company's own history.

 Coal India LtdOil and Natural Gas Corporation Ltd
SectorMining PSUOil and gas PSU
Market capIndicative band, refreshed monthly. Read the live figure from the latest screen.₹2.80 lakh cr₹3.30 lakh cr
Crack Score53 / 10080 / 100
Systematic stanceNeutralBullish
Business modelMines and sells coal to Indian power utilities, steel plants, and other industrial users. Prices are notified by the government and are below international market rates. Volume growth is the primary earnings lever.Explores, develops, and produces crude oil and natural gas in India and overseas. Revenue is directly linked to global crude oil prices and domestic gas price policy.
Commodity price exposureDomestic coal prices are administratively determined and insulated from global thermal coal price swings. This is a buffer in downturns and a cap in upturns.Earnings are directly correlated with crude oil prices. ONGC's upstream profitability moves sharply with Brent crude, making it a direct hydrocarbon cycle play.
Dividend and cashflowHistorically a high-dividend paying PSU with strong operating cash flow from the monopoly volume position. The government's need for dividends makes Coal India a reliable dividend stock.Also a significant dividend payer but more variable earnings means dividend consistency is lower than Coal India's. Government ownership drives similar dividend policies.
Long-term structural viewCoal demand in India is expected to remain elevated for power generation through the energy transition given solar and wind intermittency. However, the 10 to 20-year trajectory faces headwinds from accelerating renewable capacity addition.Oil demand in India continues to grow with urbanisation and the vehicle fleet, but long-term EV adoption is a structural risk to upstream volume growth beyond 2030.
Best suited toThe income-focused investor seeking a monopoly, high-cashflow PSU with visible dividends and low commodity price volatility over the medium term.The investor who wants a direct proxy on global oil and gas prices within a government-backed framework, accepting higher earnings volatility for potential upside in high-crude environments.

Compute the live valuation and quality ratios for either stock, or read the full signed verdict on COALINDIA and ONGC.

FAQ2 reader questions · AEO-eligible

The Coal India vs ONGC call, distilled and schema-marked for AI Overview, Perplexity, and reader search.

Are Coal India and ONGC part of the same index?

Both are constituents of the Nifty 50, India's benchmark large-cap index. They are classified under different sectoral indices: Coal India falls under the Nifty Metal and Nifty PSE indices, while ONGC is part of the Nifty Oil and Gas and Nifty PSE indices.

How does the energy transition affect Coal India vs ONGC differently?

Coal India is directly in the crosshairs of the energy transition because thermal coal is the target for phase-down in electricity generation. India's renewable ambitions structurally threaten coal demand growth over a 15 to 20-year horizon, even though near-term demand remains firm. ONGC's oil and gas products face both transport sector electrification (affecting oil demand) and the energy transition (affecting gas in some applications), but both have longer structural runways than thermal coal.

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